三级aa视频在线观看-三级国产-三级国产精品一区二区-三级国产三级在线-三级国产在线

USEUROPEAFRICAASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Opinion
Home / Opinion / Featured Contributors

After the Trump triumph

By Dan Steinbock | chinadaily.com.cn | Updated: 2016-11-10 16:56

Trade conflicts - or anti-imperial realism

In foreign trade, Trump has pledged to tear up or renegotiate the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), which would be an embarrassment to Japan and the ASEAN nations that joined the deal after years of talks.

To reduce the US trade deficit with the region, he would raise trade rhetoric against China, Japan and ASEAN’s emerging low-cost producers. That would include a 45% tariff on Chinese exports and raising import duties on Japanese cars. In currency policy, he would confront Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and the Bank of Japan, which he claims are driving the yen down against the dollar. He would also challenge China’s foreign exchange reforms. In each case, the net effect would be aggravated currency friction.

Indeed, Trump’s list of foreign policy advisers - including neoconservative Walid Phares, senator Jeff Sessions, former Army lieutenant general Keith Kellogg, Blackwater USA’s Joe Schmitz, and bankers Carter Page and George Papadopoulos - suggests that either he plans to move US foreign policy further to the Reaganesque right, or that he must undermine his own agenda in due time.

The key question remains: Will Trump walk the walk? For instance, his goal to re-negotiate defense pacts in Asia would undermine the Abe administration’s controversial defense reforms.

Uncertainty - or stability

Nevertheless, there is another and far more realistic side to Trump’s rhetoric. Some of his murmurings – whether NATO is still relevant; that the Middle East would be more stable if Saddam Hussein and Muammar Gaddafi were still in power; that he could get along well with Russia’s Vladimir Putin, and so on – suggest that, in the final analysis, Trump could focus his attention on renegotiating better deals and undermining bad ones, not regime change and global empire games.

The realists of US foreign policy expect - or at least hope - that Trump could prove America’s first postwar “anti-imperial” president.

In the short term, the Trump triumph will mean economic uncertainty, market volatility, and strategic doubt. That was evident on the election day as global markets were rocked by Trump’s victory, which was accompanied by a weakening dollar, drastic declines of the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq, as well as markets in Europe, Asia and elsewhere.

The real question is did markets responded dramatically to anticipated future realities - or their own misguided expectations? In the coming weeks, the power transition in the White House will take place amid extraordinary political animosity and very fragile stability.

After all, Trump’s triumph has ensured the kind of political consolidation that Clinton could only dream about. As Republican majority will prevail in both the Senate and the House, Trump will take over the White House. As a result, he will be able and willing to effect real change in America - for good or bad.

Dr Dan Steinbock is Guest Fellow of Shanghai Institutes for International Studies (SIIS). This commentary is based on his SIIS project on '"China and the multipolar world economy.”


Previous Page 1 2 Next Page

Most Viewed in 24 Hours
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
主站蜘蛛池模板: 欧美视频一区在线 | 免费区欧美一级毛片精品 | 国内精品不卡一区二区三区 | 亚洲国产美女视频 | 中国女人野外做爰视频在线看 | 久久日本精品一区二区三区 | 妖精www视频在线观看高清 | 欧美一级片a | 午夜精品一区二区三区在线视 | 国产免费啪视频观看网站 | 国产精品久久久久9999赢消 | 国产自产2023最新麻豆 | 韩日视频在线观看 | 亚洲在线网址 | 久久精品爱国产免费久久 | 欧美性视频网 | 国产成人午夜性视频影院 | 黄色网址视频 | 亚洲一区 在线播放 | 九九视频在线看精品 | 国产露脸对白刺激3p在线 | 免费一级国产大片 | 国产日韩线路一线路二 | 在线观看日本一区 | 91短视频版在线观看免费 | 九九热视频精品在线 | 69xx在线观看视频 | 国产无遮挡又黄又爽在线视频 | 免费又黄又爽又猛大片午夜 | 亚洲一区二区三 | 国产日韩视频在线观看 | 亚洲国产美女在线观看 | 亚洲第一综合网 | 久在线精品视频 | 午夜国产福利视频 | 麻豆视频在线免费看 | 久久一区精品 | 六月婷婷视频 | 国产成人精品区在线观看 | 日本成人一级 | 亚洲不卡在线观看 |