三级aa视频在线观看-三级国产-三级国产精品一区二区-三级国产三级在线-三级国产在线

   

ANALYSIS-Latest China stock dive lacks global punch

(Reuters)
Updated: 2007-05-30 19:27

HONG KONG - When Chinese stocks dropped almost 9 percent in February it caught international investors off guard, triggering a global market sell-off that raised ugly memories of the Asia financial crisis a decade earlier.

By comparison, the 6.5 percent fall in Shanghai shares on Wednesday has caused few global ripples yet, with even stock markets in Asia registering only modest declines. Volatility in currency, commodity and debt markets was also more subdued.

Global investors are less inclined to hit the panic button this time, strategists and fund managers said, because the pullback in China was widely expected and global sell-offs in the past year have proven to be buying opportunities.

"If you look at what happened in February, that kind of a fall was not expected. It came from the blue," said Binay Chandgothia, chief investment officer for Principal Asset Management's Hong Kong operation.

"If you look at what happened today, almost everybody on the street had been calling for a correction ... that's one big difference in terms of the trickle down impact of the correction on global markets."

Chinese stocks suffered their biggest fall since the February 27 slide on Wednesday after Beijing tripled a stock-trading tax in its latest move to curb a market that has nearly tripled in value over the past year.

But Japan's Nikkei eased just 0.5 percent, South Korea's KOSPI closed flat, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index shed 1.2 percent, and Taiwan's TAIEX fell by less than half a percent.

The yen edged up just 0.2 percent against the euro and 0.1 percent against the dollar That compares with a jump of more than 2 percent against the dollar on February 27, when some speculators unwound carry trades, in which they had borrowed cheap in yen to invest in higher-yielding currencies.

Emerging markets risk spreads as measured by JP Morgan's EMBI+ index widened by one basis point to 155 basis points over US Treasuries. They are near the all-time low of 149 bps. This is in sharp contrast with its move in February when spreads widened by 23 bps.

The Chinese stock market fall did weigh on metal prices, but analysts said losses were limited as the market sought direction from equities for signs of risk aversion which could leave metals exposed.

Market watchers noted that after the Shanghai market's February 27 plunge, it resumed rising the next day and hit fresh highs within a month.

The latest fall "will take the heat off some of the regional markets and global investors will generally be cautious," said Mark Konyn, chief executive officer at Allianz Global Investors Hong Kong.

"But as we saw in February the recovery was fairly swift, and our sense is that in China itself, the recovery of this fall will also be there. There'll be buying support in the market."

Konyn said if the fall did deteriorate into a bigger and more significant decline, then it would have a psychological effect on investors generally, although that was "not the most likely outcome".

LESS GLOBAL CONCERN

Fund managers and strategists noted that because of capital controls, the mainland market is effectively a closed one with only modest foreign participation. They added that the stock market action has little correlation to China's economy, the world's fourth biggest.

"It's the February precedent, which has reinforced the view that you don't sell into corrections, you buy them," said Malcolm Wood, regional strategist at Morgan Stanley.

Garry Evans, pan-Asian equity strategist at HSBC, said there was no reason for even a meltdown in the Chinese markets to have much of an impact on the rest of the world, even if it affected mainland consumption.

"If you think about what's driven growth in China over the past few years, its definitely not been consumption. It's been exports and investments and those are not particularly co-related to the equity market," he said.

"So I think people are rightly making the decision that growth in China is separate from the outlook for the equity market, and the outlook for the equity market in China is not really particularly connected to anywhere else."

But Asian stocks still looked vulnerable to any shocks after a run-up that sent markets including Hong Kong, South Korea and Australia to record highs in May, said Evans.

Asia excluding Japan trades at about 14.3 times forward earnings, which is above the average price to earnings ratio since 2001. This figure does not include Chinese mainland-listed A shares.



Top China News  
Today's Top News  
Most Commented/Read Stories in 48 Hours
主站蜘蛛池模板: 色午夜视频 | 欧美h网| 亚洲国产精品久久 | 精品国产女同疯狂摩擦2 | 五月天激激婷婷大综合丁香 | 亚洲最大在线视频 | 久久中国 | 国产亚洲视频在线观看 | 制服丝袜日韩欧美 | 欧美一级特级毛片 | 欧美视频在线观看免费播放 | 欧美成人高清乱码 | 国产在线精品福利大全 | 欧美精品第二页 | 国产精品入口免费麻豆 | 99久久国产免费中文无字幕 | 国外成人在线视频 | 日韩在线看片中文字幕不卡 | 亚洲日韩中文字幕一区 | 免费在线观看黄色毛片 | 高清在线亚洲精品国产二区 | 91久久精品国产亚洲 | 亚洲精品免费观看 | 久久精品片| 久久精品国产久精国产80cm | 麻豆传媒在线视频 | 国产一级特黄aaaa大片野外 | 福利片视频区 | 国产高清免费视频 | 国产精品一区二区久久精品涩爱 | 成人看免费一级毛片 | 一级毛片真人免费观看 | 亚洲综合在线最大成人 | 色婷婷精品免费视频 | 西瓜影音理论片 | 在线观看麻豆国产精品 | 日韩精品免费一级视频 | 亚洲精品国产精品乱码不卞 | 在线观看国产精美视频 | 午夜国产精品影院在线观看 | 大片免免费观看视频播放网站 |