三级aa视频在线观看-三级国产-三级国产精品一区二区-三级国产三级在线-三级国产在线

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / View

Follow the economic signposts

By ED ZHANG (China Daily) Updated: 2015-07-06 10:59

Perhaps surprisingly, China's economy has persisted until the middle of 2015, despite all the forecasts of its collapse at the beginning of the year. In fact, with all its chronic symptoms, the size of the economy, and its diversity on corporate and individual levels, can help it do many things at a time when it seems nothing can be done, such as to overcome its existing problems bit by bit, and build up new momentum for the future.

There is already an indication that the growth rate may not remain as questionable an issue.

In all likelihood, the economy's slowdown will bottom out in the fourth quarter of the year. And a 7 percent annual growth in GDP is within range.

With more credit, more infrastructure projects in central and western regions, and more activities in the capital market (more stock listings and trading, more local government bond issuance), growth in industry and in employment will come along easily.

Although it is contestable whether these are better and smarter ways to generate growth, at least officials and their economic advisers know these are not enough, and they have to make better efforts in reform, in cutting down the red tape that stifles new businesses, and in building a stronger regime for environmental protection. These will translate into some good figures.

People will see that, as experienced Chinese economic watchers have pointed out, economics is always a long-term thing in China. Both good and bad things can be quickly spotted on the local level, but they can be slow to become over-whelming and form a general trend. And most likely, once there is a general trend in a country of this size, it must contain some new phenomena on the local level to warrant the government working out long-term-policies to avoid letting them grow into new concerns.

All the things that the central government has been doing since the end of last year are largely consistent with its goal to build an economy less dependent on exports and more on domestic services. It is always arguable whether it has been effective in delivering this service.

Against this broad background, many forecasts have been floated in various Chinese business forums (online and offline) about the second half of the year. Events to watch, they say, include President Xi Jinping's visit to the United States, to see how the two heads of state will define the framework of their future political and business relations, such as the US-led Trans-Pacific Partnership network and the bilateral investment treaty.

Another thing to watch is the reform of the stock listing system in the domesticstock market, which will allow greater rights for corporate management to offer shares to the public market. In theory, for investors, the change in listing rules will likely bring along more choices and fewer opportunities for the majority shareholders to manipulate share prices.

In the meantime, new policy changes will be made to further reduce the central bank's control of interest rates and over yuan conversions for investors.

However, one thing the Chinese analysts have seldom talked about is the growing dichotomy between State-owned enterprises and more market-oriented enterprises in their growth vitality and potential, and between local governments with SOE reform tasks and the ones with market opportunities.

Most large SOEs will be slow in any meaningful reform. As a result, they will lose out on more opportunities. Investors cannot be expected to have much interest by working with them, whatever their plans may be.

Meanwhile, some of the largest companies of mixed ownership ( joined or controlled by private capital) will grow much faster and more aggressively-but only if they are placed under professional and innovative management. They will continue to be the most active force in the domestic and global business arena.

The author is editor-at-large of China Daily.

 

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 日韩欧美成人乱码一在线 | 欧美三级短视频 | 成人在线视频网站 | 午夜性色一区二区三区不卡视频 | 三级理论中文字幕在线播放 | 欧美乱xxxxxxxxx| 久久久亚洲精品蜜桃臀 | 91tv最新永久在线地址 | 黄色毛片a级 | 狠狠色成人综合网图片区 | 久久色播| 日韩免费在线视频观看 | 亚洲精品中文字幕无乱码 | 欧美黄色一级片视频 | 不卡一区在线观看 | 一区二区3区免费视频 | 香蕉99| 在线观看日本免费视频大片 | 国产精品福利片免费看 | 国产亚洲亚洲精品777 | 伊人久久成人爱综合网 | 欧美成人午夜毛片免费影院 | 91丝瓜视频最新版 | 韩国一大片a毛片女同 | 澳门毛片精品一区二区三区 | 一级片在线免费看 | 国产一区二区三区在线看 | 欧美一区二区精品 | 精品女同一区二区三区在线 | 波多野结中文字幕在线69视频 | 日韩一区二区免费看 | 亚洲国产精品67194成人 | 久久人体做爰大胆图片 | 91在线视频免费观看 | 日韩电影免费在线观看中文字幕 | 欧美激情一区二区三区蜜桃视频 | 国产一区二区三区四区五区六区 | 国产欧美日韩综合一区二区三区 | 国产日产精品_国产精品毛片 | 成人伊人亚洲人综合网站222 | 亚洲欧美日韩高清一区二区三区 |