三级aa视频在线观看-三级国产-三级国产精品一区二区-三级国产三级在线-三级国产在线

Global EditionASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Business
Home / Business / Policies

More policy support to bolster growth expected

Increase in value-added industrial output, retail sales slows in August

By OUYANG SHIJIA and LIU ZHIHUA | China Daily | Updated: 2024-09-17 07:35
Share
Share - WeChat
A robot operates equipment on the assembly line of an automaker in Xi'an, Shaanxi province. YUAN JINGZHI/FOR CHINA DAILY

China is likely to gradually introduce new policies to bolster quality-oriented growth in the near term, as the latest indicators suggest the economy is still feeling the pinch of lackluster demand and low confidence among investors and consumers, analysts said.

Existing policies are expected to be implemented in the following months along with additional steps to address the pressing challenges facing the broader economy, they said, adding that the central government has the fiscal capacity to leverage effective investment and spur consumption, and plenty of room to step up support for monetary policy.

The potential moves should include expanding this year's deficit ratio, further cuts in the reserve requirement ratio and interest rates, and reducing rates on outstanding mortgages, they said.

Their comments came after figures released by the National Bureau of Statistics on Saturday showed slower growth in industrial production, consumer spending and investment.

China's value-added industrial output grew by 4.5 percent in August from last year, with retail sales up 2.1 percent. However, these figures were down on the previous month where value-added industrial output and retail sales were up 5.1 percent and 2.7 percent in July.

The numbers have resulted in more calls for greater policy support to consolidate the country's economic recovery.

Darius Tang, associate director of corporates at ratings agency Fitch Bohua, said the latest figures reflect the structural imbalance embedded in China's economy with stronger supply and weaker demand.

"We believe that at the crux of the current weak consumption in China lies insufficient demand and people's unchanged low willingness to spend," Tang said.

"This is on one hand due to the fading growth of residents' disposable income, which raises concerns about employment and income stability. While on the other hand the decline in housing prices and the flagging stock market are triggering negative wealth effects and squeezing out the expenditure potential."

From January to August, fixed-asset investments rose by 3.4 percent from last year, while from January to July, they grew by 3.6 percent year-on-year. Property investment fell by 10.2 percent in the first eight months from a year earlier, the same as in the first seven months.

Tang said his team believes that "it is highly likely the Chinese government will introduce more stimulus policies on consumption and the real estate sector step by step in the fourth quarter", in a bid to spur people's willingness to spend and increase effective demand.

Considering the recent weaker-than-expected economic indicators, Xiong Yuan, chief economist at Guosheng Securities, said China's third-quarter GDP growth rate would probably be lower than that of the 4.7 percent in the second quarter, shoring up the case for stepped-up policy support to bolster growth.

"Policymakers will likely introduce new incremental policies in the near term," Xiong said.

"Potential moves will include expanding this year's deficit ratio, further cuts in the reserve requirement ratio and interest rates, and reducing rates on outstanding mortgages."

Looking ahead, Zhou Maohua, a researcher at China Everbright Bank, said China still has plenty of room to step up macroeconomic support this year, saying policymakers will likely further strengthen counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustments.

Citing a key meeting held by the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China Central Committee in late July, Betty Wang, lead economist at British think tank Oxford Economics, said it sent a clear signal of plans to strengthen the counter-cyclical adjustment in the second half of this year via multiple policy tools.

Wang said her team expects the People's Bank of China, the country's central bank, will cut interest rates by another 10 basis points in interest rates in the fourth quarter, along with an additional 25 basis points in the RRR during the period.

"We also expect the issuance of special local government bonds will pick up for the rest of this year with an average monthly issuance of 425 billion yuan ($60 billion), or 68 percent higher than that of the first seven months of this year," Wang said.

 

Top
BACK TO THE TOP
English
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
CLOSE
 
主站蜘蛛池模板: 欧美日韩成人高清色视频 | 草逼网站视频 | 亚洲国产香蕉视频欧美 | 黄色免费观看视频网站 | xvideos中国入口 | 西西444www | 中文线码中文高清播放中 | 在线国产二区 | 精品国产理论在线观看不卡 | 欧美一区二区三区在线视频 | 国产精品午夜性视频 | 三级黄色片在线观看 | 99视频在线看观免费 | 免费国产调教视频在线观看 | 青草草产国视频 | 欧美一级特黄aaaaaaa在线观看 | 亚洲视频网址 | 欧美成人v视频免费看 | 亚洲成aⅴ人片在线观 | 在线免费观看精品 | 久久受www免费人成看片 | 亚洲精品一区二区三区四区五区 | 成年美女黄网站色视频大全免费 | 亚洲伦理精品久久 | 成人免费网址在线 | 欧美一区亚洲二区 | 97久久久久 | 国产不卡在线蜜 | 加勒比一本大道香蕉在线视频 | 97香蕉超级碰碰碰久久兔费 | 草逼免费视频 | 亚洲精品播放 | 成人免费黄色大片 | 福利视频不卡 | 久久国产电影 | 日本黄区免费视频观看 | 青青青视频蜜桃一区二区 | 国产黄在线观看免费观看软件视频 | 在线播放三级 | 啪啪激情网 | 欧美久久视频 |